Rawstocks Desk Record

The edge is in the record.

Every closed Desk alert is kept here after the outcome is known. Winners stay. Losses stay. The point is not to manufacture a perfect-looking curve — it is to make the record inspectable.

Closed trades300complete record sample

Win rate86.0%profitable closed positions

Average win+41.00%option contract return

Average loss−44.51%option contract return

Expectancy / trade+29.03%mean % across all closed trades

Win / loss ratio0.92xaverage winner ÷ average loser

Cumulative contract return

Sequential closed trades

Performance diagnostics

Current sample

Wins258

Losses42

Best trade+757.00%

Worst trade−96.30%

Breakeven win rate52.1%

Current edge+29.03%

Trade ledger

Every closed call. In sequence.

This table is the underlying record behind the summary statistics above. Rows remain visible after losses and the feed continues to grow as new Desk trades close.

How to read this: every row is a closed position posted to the Rawstocks Discord in real time. P/L is the percentage return on the option contract itself. It should not be interpreted as a portfolio return.

Date	Instrument	Expiry	Result	P/L
10/09	COIN 180 PUT	10-09	LOSS	−53.50%
10/09	META 720 CALL	10-09	LOSS	−11.40%
10/09	META 720 CALL	10-09	WIN	+0.10%
10/09	META 720 CALL	10-09	LOSS	−8.10%
10/09	SNOW 365 PUT	10-09	WIN	+52.40%
10/09	SNOW 365 PUT	10-09	WIN	+31.40%
10/09	QQQ 750 CALL	10-09	LOSS	−24.70%
10/09	QQQ 746 CALL	10-09	LOSS	−76.70%
10/09	META 720 CALL	10-09	WIN	+60.60%
10/09	QQQ 750 CALL	10-09	WIN	+13.30%
10/09	TSLA 375 CALL	10-16	WIN	+23.60%
10/08	QQQ 755 PUT	10-08	WIN	+757.00%
10/08	QQQ 754 CALL	10-09	WIN	+32.70%
10/08	QQQ 755 PUT	10-08	WIN	+70.90%
10/08	QQQ 755 PUT	10-08	WIN	+58.20%
10/08	QQQ 755 PUT	10-08	WIN	+45.60%
10/08	QQQ 755 CALL	10-08	WIN	+19.10%
10/07	MU 1115 CALL	10-09	WIN	+70.00%
10/07	MU 1115 CALL	10-09	WIN	+26.10%
10/07	MU 1100 CALL	10-09	WIN	+19.70%
10/07	MU 1100 CALL	10-09	WIN	+33.30%
10/07	QQQ 756 PUT	10-07	WIN	+38.90%
10/07	QQQ 756 CALL	10-07	LOSS	−25.90%
10/07	TSLA 375 PUT	10-07	WIN	+56.60%
10/07	QQQ 753 CALL	10-07	WIN	+10.50%
10/07	TSLA 375 PUT	10-07	WIN	+48.50%
10/07	TSLA 375 PUT	10-07	WIN	+34.30%
10/07	QQQ 759 CALL	10-07	WIN	+0.00%
10/06	QQQ 762 PUT	10-06	WIN	+76.90%
10/06	QQQ 762 PUT	10-06	WIN	+65.40%
10/06	QQQ 762 PUT	10-06	WIN	+61.50%
10/06	QQQ 762 PUT	10-06	WIN	+36.50%
10/06	QQQ 762 PUT	10-06	WIN	+23.10%
10/06	SPY 780 PUT	10-06	WIN	+6.50%
10/06	SPY 780 PUT	10-06	WIN	+75.90%
10/06	SPY 780 PUT	10-06	WIN	+39.80%
10/06	QQQ 761 PUT	10-06	WIN	+12.10%
10/06	QQQ 761 PUT	10-06	WIN	+51.10%
10/06	QQQ 761 PUT	10-06	WIN	+37.40%
10/06	COIN 198 CALL	10-09	WIN	+9.70%
10/06	COIN 198 CALL	10-09	WIN	+4.50%
10/06	QQQ 755 CALL	10-07	WIN	+52.60%
10/06	BE 295 CALL	10-09	WIN	+38.30%
10/06	AMD 645 CALL	10-07	WIN	+173.00%
10/05	QQQ 755 CALL	10-05	LOSS	−18.00%
10/05	AMD 645 CALL	10-07	WIN	+16.50%
10/05	QQQ 755 CALL	10-09	WIN	+17.00%
10/05	QQQ 756 CALL	10-09	WIN	+5.90%
10/05	AMD 645 CALL	10-07	WIN	+0.00%
10/05	QQQ 753 CALL	10-05	WIN	+7.30%
10/05	QQQ 753 CALL	10-05	WIN	+7.30%
10/05	QQQ 198 CALL	10-09	WIN	+0.00%
10/05	COIN 200 CALL	10-16	WIN	+32.40%
10/02	QQQ 748 CALL	10-02	WIN	+11.70%
10/02	IWM 281 CALL	10-02	WIN	+28.30%
10/02	QQQ 748 CALL	10-02	WIN	+24.20%
10/02	QQQ 748 CALL	10-02	WIN	+11.80%
10/02	QQQ 748 CALL	10-02	WIN	+6.30%
10/02	QQQ 752 PUT	10-02	WIN	+136.40%
10/02	QQQ 752 PUT	10-02	WIN	+36.40%
10/02	QQQ 752 PUT	10-02	WIN	+27.30%
10/01	TSLA 360 CALL	10-02	WIN	+94.00%
09/30	SPY 767 PUT	09-30	WIN	+77.40%
09/30	COIN 200 CALL	10-02	WIN	+19.30%
09/30	NBIS 250 CALL	10-02	WIN	+13.90%
09/30	SPY 767 PUT	09-30	WIN	+222.60%
09/30	SPY 767 PUT	09-30	WIN	+161.30%
09/30	SPY 767 PUT	09-30	WIN	+17.70%
09/30	SPY 767 PUT	09-30	WIN	+17.70%
09/29	SPY 764 CALL	09-29	LOSS	−17.30%
09/29	SPY 764 CALL	09-29	LOSS	−69.90%
09/29	SPX 7690 CALL	09-29	WIN	+16.20%
09/29	COIN 208 CALL	10-02	WIN	+0.00%
09/29	SHOP 148 CALL	10-02	LOSS	−34.70%
09/29	QQQ 740 CALL	09-29	WIN	+37.00%
09/28	SPY 763 PUT	09-28	LOSS	−95.30%
09/28	SPX 7700 CALL	09-28	LOSS	−35.80%
09/28	SPX 7700 CALL	09-28	LOSS	−54.70%
09/28	QQQ 735 PUT	09-28	LOSS	−70.80%
09/28	SPY 763 PUT	09-28	WIN	+39.50%
09/28	QQQ 736 CALL	09-28	WIN	+20.00%
09/25	SPXW 7720 PUT	09-25	WIN	+100.00%
09/25	SPY 772 CALL	09-30	LOSS	−1.70%
09/25	QQQ 741 CALL	09-25	WIN	+16.10%
09/25	QQQ 741 CALL	09-25	WIN	+13.80%
09/25	TSLA 375 PUT	09-25	LOSS	−53.80%
09/25	MSFT 500 CALL	10-16	WIN	+52.70%
09/24	IWM 280 PUT	09-24	WIN	+30.80%
09/24	IWM 280 PUT	09-24	WIN	+76.90%
09/24	IWM 280 PUT	09-24	WIN	+38.50%
09/24	SPXW 7655 PUT	09-24	WIN	+55.60%
09/24	SPXW 7655 PUT	09-24	WIN	+66.70%
09/24	SPY 764 PUT	09-24	WIN	+43.90%
09/24	SPY 764 PUT	09-24	WIN	+29.10%
09/24	MU 1065 CALL	09-25	WIN	+43.40%
09/24	QQQ 738 PUT	09-24	WIN	+8.70%
09/23	SPY 769 PUT	09-23	WIN	+151.90%
09/23	SPY 769 PUT	09-23	WIN	+85.20%
09/23	SPY 769 PUT	09-23	WIN	+63.00%
09/23	SPXW 7745 PUT	09-23	WIN	+300.00%

258 wins · 42 losses across 300 closed trades Every row timestamped in Discord. Join and scroll back.

Interpretation

Win rate alone is not enough.

A strong win rate can still produce poor economics if the losses are too large. The useful question is whether the current hit rate is high enough relative to the average win and average loss.

Average outcome matters

Across the current record the average winner is approximately +41.00% and the average loser is approximately −44.51%. Based on that payoff relationship, the estimated breakeven win rate is approximately 52.1%.

Sample size matters

The record currently contains 300 closed positions. A small sample can produce misleadingly strong or weak statistics, so these figures should be interpreted in the context of the number of completed trades.

Your execution will not match the record exactly

Fills: options spreads move quickly, and a worse fill can materially change the percentage result.
Sizing: contract-return percentage is not the same thing as account return. Position size determines the actual portfolio impact.
Timing: entering even minutes after an alert can create a materially different outcome on fast-moving contracts.
Past performance: this record describes what happened. It does not guarantee what happens next.

Risk disclosure

Trading options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Options can expire worthless. It is possible to lose the entire amount paid for a position in a single session.

Rawstocks LLC is a trading education and analysis community. We are not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer, and nothing published here constitutes personalized investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Read the full disclosure.